Chile would win. Easily. Despite whatever assumptions you might draw from looking at a map or by reading the Global Firepower Index, Chile is actually much, much more powerful than Argentina. Chile has four main advantages over Argentina.
- Chile has nearly double the amount of soldiers Argentina has. Their active-duty is almost exactly the same size as Argentina’s, but their reservists are a much larger force.
- Argentina’s equipment and especially their air force and navy has been underfunded and hardly maintained ever since the Falklands War. Availability of their hardware is generally considered to be under 30%, and the number of usable Argentine fighters and ships would be in the single digits. What planes and vessels they do have are very old and completely obsolete. Chile, on the other hand, has a massive technological advantage over not only Argentina but the entirety of South America.
- The length of the Chilean-Argentine border would play right into Chile’s hands, as Argentina wouldn’t be able to cover all of it. Or at least not quickly enough to stop Chile from crossing the Andes Mountains unopposed in most areas.
- These:
This is a Leopard II. Probably one of, if not the best tank on the planet. And Chile has 200 of them. Argentina’s unmodernized 1980s tanks (most of which have been rotting away in storage for years) wouldn’t stand a chance, and it’s unlikely that Chile would even lose Leopards beyond the lower double digits.
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